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Affordable housing

For the love of the building.

January 24, 2024

Growing up in a middle-class household in suburban New Jersey, Mark Winkelman decided at an early age, with the encouragement from his interior designer mother, to pursue architecture. To that end he attended and graduated from the Syracuse School of Architecture in 1978. Upon graduation he interned in Phillip Johnson’s highly acclaimed design firm in New York City. While in Johnson’s office he worked on a number of notable high rise office buildings including the gothic PPG Headquarters in Pittsburgh and the iconic postmodern AT&T headquarters in New York City.

After earning his New York State architectural license Mark and his then girlfriend (and now wife) traveled to and worked in Tokyo, Japan for two years. There he came to appreciate the refined visual aesthetic that is uniquely Japanese. The design lessons learned in Japan would deeply inform and influence Mark’s own design work. Perhaps the most important lesson was grasping the importance of putting new work in an historical context.

Upon returning to the States in 1984, Mark partnered with a Syracuse classmate and formed Downtown Design — a boutique architecture and interiors firm based in New York City. For the next 25 years Downtown Design grew and developed a number of specialties including the design of technical media facilities such as recording studios and video edit suites. The firm’s projects also included the restoration and adaptive reuse of historical loft buildings in the creative neighborhoods of Soho and Tribeca in Manhattan. Indeed, one of the loft projects was his family’s own home in a 1894 spice warehouse.

In 2007, Mark and Suzanne bought the complex of historic and vacant factory buildings in Williamsport, PA. According to Mark, the building and their potential was enough to bring him to Williamsport. The Winkelman’s have honored local history with the name “Pajama Factory” and the continuing restoration and preservation of the 100 (plus) year old buildings. According to local history, Weldon’s Pajama Factory was once the largest pajama factory in the world. The site was scouted and used as a model for the 1950’s Broadway play, later the movie, “The Pajama Game,” starring Doris Day and John Raitt. They pondered how to fill the 300,000 sq ft of floor area in a town that has been losing businesses and population for decades.

The Winkelmans opted for a plan much like the one highlighted in Richard Florida’s book “Rise of the Creative Class” that included a mixed-use complex with a 24/7 urban lifestyle which includes live / work lofts, work only studios, supporting retail shops, and community facility spaces. A haven for creative thinkers and incubator businesses was created. Performance and event spaces are available for music, political events, large meetings, tenant / community events. A community outreach, 501-c3, organization which has a well-equipped wood shop, clay studio, bicycle recycle shop, and photography dark room — all of which were brought into the mix by the Winkelmans and are open to the wider community.

Mark strives to maintain a high level of energy and optimism in order to build a Creative Community that will someday serve as a model for the Arts World and for energizing small cities and towns. The adaptive reuse of a building into a mixed-use facility is an established practice in big cities but it is not often seen in towns and smaller cities. The fact that the Pajama Factory located, as it is, in a small city, is beginning to have an outsized and positive effect on how the City of Williamsport perceives itself. Mark and Suzanne understand the importance of being a part of a community-based economy by providing spaces where locally owned small businesses can be developed and benefit from the “Buy Local” movement. The rents are kept incredibly affordable at about 1⁄2 the local rate and 1/10 the rate in New York City, for instance. In his spare time, Mark managed the restoration of his 1970 Triumph GT6 British sports car. He loves sailing, especially blue water cruising. Ceramics, primarily wheel work, is a passion. He also loves traveling with his family — as long as his daughter and son take care of all the arrangements.

Read the podcast transcript here

Eve Picker: [00:00:05] Hi there. Thanks for joining me on Rethink Real Estate. For Good. I’m Eve Picker and I’m on a mission to make real estate work for everyone. I love real estate. Real estate makes places good or bad, rich, or poor, beautiful, or not. In this show, I’m interviewing the disruptors, those creative thinkers and doers that are shrugging off the status quo in order to build better for everyone.

Eve: [00:00:41] After a successful career in architecture and design in New York City, Mark Winkelman purchased a 300,000 square foot historic pajama factory. Once the largest pajama factory in the world, the building sat vacant in a small town in central Pennsylvania with a population of just 114,000. The Winkelmans set about filling it one corner at a time with a vision for an affordable and thriving creative hub. 16 years later and 60% complete, the stunning buildings are coming back to life. But there is still more to do. What was Mark’s motivation and what was his thesis and how has it played out? Listen in to learn more.

Eve: [00:01:37] Hello, Mark. It’s great to have you on my show.

Mark: [00:01:39] Good to be here.

Eve: [00:01:40] So the pajama factory, once the largest pajama factory in the country, now belongs to the Winkelmans. You and your wife, Suzanne, which is really a very bold move. How did you stumble upon the pajama factory?

Mark: [00:01:56] I had a partner, I had a bar stool buddy of mine who was a fantastic, is a fantastic woodworker, and he got involved in some real estate in New York City, and I helped him out as an architect. So, we got to know each other and then he lost his interest in New York and moved out to a nearby town, Bloomsburg, with his woodshop and somehow discovered the building. And ultimately, he sold it to me. He knew I was interested in expanding my architectural practice, if you will, to really own and develop a building or a space or become a developer. So, anyway, he sold me the building, in a sense, and I mean, it’s crazy. It’s in the middle of Pennsylvania. I knew nothing about Pennsylvania. I got as far as the Delaware Water Gap, which is a nice place to canoe and hike on the Appalachian Trail but that’s about 200 yards into Pennsylvania. And Pennsylvania is a huge state. So anyway, we saw the building, found the building and the building, I mean, if it was in New York, it’s just…

[00:03:13] It would be worth a fortune. Yeah.

[00:03:15] Oh, yeah. And unattainable for me to work on. But here we bought it for nothing because nobody wanted it. I mean, literally a penny on the dollar compared to New York. It didn’t really know what to do with it, except that it had potential. It had all potential.

Eve: [00:03:31] The town it’s in is called Williamsport, right? Williamsport.

[00:03:34] That’s correct.

[00:03:34] And it’s pretty well Central PA. Central North?

Mark: [00:03:37] North Central PA. It’s an hour and a half from Harrisburg, the capital. The closest town is Elmira, New York. You know, it’s …

Eve: [00:03:49] So New York is about a three-hour drive. Pittsburgh’s a 3- or 4-hour drive. Toronto’s a three-hour drive. It’s kind of in the middle of, really in the middle.

Mark: [00:04:00] All the locals here say it’s in the middle, middle of the universe. And I actually call it the middle of nowhere because it’s quite removed and there’s no public transportation. There are challenges but the thing I ultimately like about Williamsport is the fact that it’s isolated. And because it’s isolated, everything is here. And my only experience in the past was suburbia in New Jersey, which is where I grew up, which was vacuous. And New York City, which is exciting. It has everything, but ultimately it becomes very inconvenient. Everything is so convenient in Williamsport. They have a steel industry down the street that produced the beams for the new Tappan Zee Bridge. Huge industry. Right up the street we have a precast, small precast company. And I literally had some pieces precast for the building and dragged them back here on a wagon. You can’t do that in New York, you know. That’s been a remarkable kind of revelation to me. I came here for the building. I came here for the challenge of restoring this historic building. I didn’t care about the town, but I’ve come to really appreciate the town and its surrounding. In fact, we moved out here. Suzy and I have moved out here. And our daughter’s moved out here.

Eve: [00:05:25] And I’ve been lucky enough to see it. It’s wonderful. How big is it?

Mark: [00:05:29] It’s 300,000ft², spread over eight buildings around a lovely little courtyard. It’s ridiculous, it’s so big.

Eve: [00:05:40] And it has a really rich history. I learned that not only was it the largest pajama factory, but Keds were invented there.

Mark: [00:05:48] That’s correct. Largest pajama factory in the world.

Eve: [00:05:52] In the world? Yes.

Mark: [00:05:53] Apparently, apparently. It was before China became a big manufacturer, obviously.

Eve: [00:05:58] And before people stopped wearing pajamas.

Mark: [00:06:00] Well that too, yes, that’s another discussion. But yes, it was originally Lycoming Rubber Company and its history as being part of us rubber is what ultimately warranted listing on the National Register of Historic Places. But as a rubber company, they started in 1883, I think, and they made, basically they dipped wool socks in rubber and gave them to the lumber industry, and that’s what they used to climb around on the logs as they took them down the rivers. That was their start. But then it moved into athletic wear at the turn of the century, the turn of the last century. And they did invent and produce Keds sneakers here. And I think Keds sneakers was introduced in 1916. And the big buildings, we have three big buildings, all connected, which comprises two thirds of the whole 200,000ft² out of the 300,000. I think they were built by Keds, by the Keds business, because the timing was right. And Keds claims accurately that they were the first mass produced sneaker. Converse came out at the same time with their sneakers and, approximately the same time, and Converse claims that they are the first sneaker mass produced, as opposed to the first mass produced sneaker. In other words, Converse got up and going and produced their sneaker before Keds did. But Keds was introduced before Converse.

Mark: [00:07:41] Yeah, I know they’re all fighting. Yeah, it’s neat stuff. So, they were here for 15 years, I guess, and it was early in the depression that they consolidated their operations, their shoe making operations in Connecticut. And they continued to own this building for another 20 years but sublet it out to small shoe making companies and the garment world.

Eve: [00:08:11] So, light industrial. Yeah.

Mark: [00:08:12] Yes, yes. And Weldons, well done Pajamas is the company that grew and ultimately bought the building in 1950. And I will say that we’ve got some examples of their pajamas around. They’re very nice. I mean, not for me, but whatever, they’re very nice. They were well done. But their architectural work on the complex was not well done at all. It’s really terrible.

Eve: [00:08:40] So, now you have the building, right? And I’ve seen it and I know you preserve and honor that history. How did your vision evolve? What did you decide to do, and how long did it take to figure that out?

Mark: [00:08:54] I had a friend of mine in New York who was involved with us from the beginning. Another friend, not the one who introduced me to the building, but a really smart guy. He was in marketing and very thoughtful. And he and I were talking about this, and the original idea was that we would bring Philadelphia and New York artists out here. The property is cheap and inexpensive and it’s neat but that didn’t happen. That was our goal is to bring folks and my buddy, being smart the way he is, he says, you can’t, you need a there there. You need something to exist before you can attract folks. And you have a vision, but they’re not going to come for the vision, they’re going to come for the fact. So, we had a kind of a rough time like, well how’s this happen? The other thing you did that was critical was he and I developed the idea of building a community, and it was the community idea that is the value added for the building. He accurately suggested that if we just try to advertise space based on price, it’s a downward spiral. You got to have something else. And it was community. So, we start to nurture that idea and it’s taken time. It takes a lot of time.

Eve: [00:10:13] So how does your architectural background influence this project? I mean, you you’ve had a long career and probably learned some things in Tokyo where you spent some time.

Mark: [00:10:24] Oh my goodness, yes. Yeah. Well, what is it? I mean, first you need a love of the building and then have confidence that you’re not alone with that love and then respect that. And so, yeah…

Eve: [00:10:41] I want to chime in I saw that respect when I was there because you dismantled, you know, old bathrooms and have reused the beautiful slates as countertops. And I saw even, you know, the shower rods were old bits of metal pipe that had obviously come from somewhere in the building. So, to me, it looks like a building that’s being dismantled a little and sort of shoved back around like a jigsaw puzzle into something slightly different.

Mark: [00:11:10] Yeah, a little steampunk, a little recycle, little homegrown, all of that. We do it all in-house. I think that’s kind of key is that that we’ve developed an in-house team. You can’t specify recycle as an architect. You know, it’s, but if you got a pipe and you got a pipe threader, you can make something up as you go. And we’ve been doing a lot of that. And I like that. That’s part of what I enjoy doing. I’m a ceramist. I deal with little things, and I deal with big things, and I like craft and I want to put craft in building. I want the design to be crafted, but then I want the product to be crafted. The hand is important, so that’s been fun for me. I don’t know that it’s necessary to make the project successful, but…

Eve: [00:12:02] Right.

Mark: [00:12:02] Am I answering these questions? I don’t know.

Eve: [00:12:04] Oh yes, yes. I can hear Suzanne cooking in the background. And we’re not we’re not going to edit that out. Okay.

Mark: [00:12:14] No.

Eve: [00:12:15] So you’re nudging the building, all 300,000ft² of it, from almost vacant to a fully occupied creative hub. So how far along are you? Tell us about the activities and facilities already there.

Mark: [00:12:30] It’s amazing. I just had someone come in yesterday. And I’m so excited about this. He came in, he is a luthier, and I’ve talked to people about a luthier. No one knows what a luthier is.

Eve: [00:12:45] What is a luthier?

Mark: [00:12:47] Here we go. A luthier is someone who makes and repairs stringed instruments.

Eve: [00:12:54] That’s what I remembered, yes. So, we call them a violin maker. But there’s many more. Oh, yeah. No string instruments. String instruments. You got lutes and basses and all sorts of things. Yeah, OK.

[00:13:08] Yes. So anyway, he is in, he’s involved, he’s a co-president of an international luthier’s organization that meets once a year at Oberlin, in Ohio. And I guess there’s a big music program out there. And they’ve been very supportive of this organization, but they shut down for the pandemic because nobody could travel. And then Oberlin informed them that they can’t use the facilities that they’ve used for three decades now because it’s under construction. So, he’s scratching his head. Well, maybe we should do it in Williamsport. And he gave me a call and I showed him around. We have the wood shop so they can cut pieces of wood and work on their luthing? I don’t know, whatever they do. And we have the Clerestory event space, which he thinks is magnificent.

Eve: [00:14:00] It is gorgeous.

Mark: [00:14:01] They have 60 people that are going to come from around the world, and everybody from somebody who’s just entering the field for a couple of years in, to guys have been doing it for decades and get pushed around in a wheelchair, the whole spectrum from all over the world. 60 folks are going to come into town, I hope. And this fellow and the head of the wood shop got talking, and they immediately got down to what kind of hand plane they like and why, and what is the angle of the blade on that plane. And, you know, that’s the number three, not the number two from that manufacturer. And I’m like, oh my God, this is too good. I love that. And that’s you know, that’s what we’re, that’s what I’m trying to build here is this collaborative opportunity for folks. You know there’s no requirements. You can go be a hermit in your studio. So that’s neat. That’s what’s going on there. But we, I mean that’s one end of the spectrum, this really rarefied craft. And the other end of the spectrum is we have, tonight, we have a pro wrestling match in that room. I mean, you can’t make this up.

Eve: [00:15:15] You also have a volunteer bike recycling shop.

Mark: [00:15:21] Yes, we do.

Eve: [00:15:23] I don’t remember what else was there.

Mark: [00:15:25] Oh my. Okay. Well, we have a community wood shop, and we have a clay studio, which is open to the public. You take classes and become a member there. We have a dark room, old school dark room, mostly working on experimental systems, old ways to develop film and paper. And we have the coffee roaster and a, pasta maker, and…

Eve: [00:15:53] And the coffee roaster makes great pastries.

Mark: [00:15:56] Oh, yeah. Yeah. Very. Yes, yes. And then lots and lots of studio spaces with small businesses, marketing folks and artists and lots of photographers because the windows are massive and have a really interesting diffusing glass from the early days which creates great light in the spaces. So, we got lots of photographers.

Eve: [00:16:21] And residents. Right?

Mark: [00:16:22] Yes, we do. We have residents, maybe a dozen. We want to put in another 60 residents, low end, lower cost, basic, room with the toilet, if you will, for the cheap artist lofts.

Eve: [00:16:38] It’s a lot more than a room with a toilet. They’re really spectacular. Tall ceilings.

Mark: [00:16:43] Some of them can be. Yes, some of them can be. But I want to make some really inexpensive ones and attract the artists. And maybe they move up, maybe they don’t. Or maybe the folks that live in the nice spaces on the top floor buy the artwork from downstairs, I don’t know.

Eve: [00:16:58] So Mark, most developers look for anchor tenants for very large projects like this because then that brings additional tenants along. What’s your approach to that?

Mark: [00:17:09] I have not found that to be useful at all, which has created a problem with the banks. I have found we have a couple of bigger, we have one bigger tenant. And he uses rent for his cash flow management, which is a problem. We have 160 spaces rented, all small, otherwise all small tenants. And I find security in having a lot of tenants, instead of giving power to a few tenants. So, you fight the financial system by not having an anchor tenant that basically can cover a good percentage of the rent, but in my case, with 300,000ft², what’s an anchor tenant? 100,000ft². You know?

Eve: [00:18:04] And anchor tenants tend to be not local too, right? So…

Mark: [00:18:07] Right.

Eve: [00:18:08] How many how many of your tenants would you say are local? You know,

Mark: [00:18:11] All of them.

Eve: [00:18:12] All of them.

Mark: [00:18:13] All of them.

Eve: [00:18:13] The retail tenants? Yeah.

Mark: [00:18:15] Yeah, all of them.

Eve: [00:18:17] So they’re very committed to the community and the town.

Mark: [00:18:21] And the factory, which is nice. Yeah, they’re committed to the project.

Eve: [00:18:25] What’s an attractive condominium price then? There.

Mark: [00:18:30] There’s no history out here. So, it remains to be seen. I’m hoping to produce finished lofts in the top floor for $200 a square foot.

Eve: [00:18:42] I mean that’s less than half what they are now in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Can’t even guess what they are in New York or Philly.

Mark: [00:18:49] Oh, yeah, no it’s crazy. It’s ten times. I mean, in Manhattan, it’s pushing $2,000 a foot. And Philly I looked recently and Philly, I seem to find a lot of them around $300 a foot. So, I think we can, the question is, can we make it work? But I think we can because the acquisition costs of the property was so low.

Eve: [00:19:13] So you’ve got about 60% of the space full?

Mark: [00:19:16] Yeah.

Eve: [00:19:16] And you’re now on a path to build out the final 40%.

Mark: [00:19:22] In in phases, still.

Eve: [00:19:24] In phases. Okay. Cause that’s a lot of square footage, right?

Mark: [00:19:29] Yeah, it still is. That’s right.

Eve: [00:19:32] And so, like, about the creative facilities, what else is planned? You’ve got a luthier coming. I mean, in your vision what would be ideal?

Mark: [00:19:41] Well, we’ve got the clay studio, wood shop and bicycle recycle, and photography are all part of a non-profit umbrella organization called Factory Works. And I’d very much like to see Factory Works expand their offerings to include metalworking and printmaking and glasswork. I mean, we can keep going. Whatever, you know, have a maker space, get some digital fabrication going. So, to that end, I’m dedicating about 15,000ft² of space on the ground floor to consolidate and allow them to expand at the same time. So, I think that’s going to be key. What we really need to do is get the tenants to start to take control of their own futures here and allow me to step aside. That’s a challenge. I don’t know, I’m hoping the condo process will do that.

Eve: [00:20:41] Yeah, because you then can create a condominium association which has governance that isn’t just you making decisions, right?

Mark: [00:20:49] Exactly, exactly.

Eve: [00:20:51] And it’s yeah, it is challenging. So, what’s a typical day at the factory like for you since you live there?

Mark: [00:21:01] Yeah. Oh, you know, I’ll get a call when someone’s key breaks off in the lock and there’s a pipe that breaks somewhere because it froze in the winter because we can’t heat the whole place yet. What is my typical day? Yeah, I got a lot of balls in the air, but I try to keep focused. I’m trying, we went away, Suzy and I went away in a vacation for two weeks. I didn’t talk to anyone for two weeks. The place ran itself.

Eve: [00:21:29] That must be comforting.

Mark: [00:21:31] Well, it almost is. And I say almost because there isn’t really a number two person who would call me. if there’s an issue. There’s a bunch of number three and number four and number five people, but there’s no number two person. And so, I need, I kind of need that. And I need enough cash flow to be able to just pay someone to be number two. And then I’d be directing him instead of trying to direct everybody. So right now, we’ve got ten employees and I have to sort of stay on top of all ten of them. They’re all doing things that are different. Well, three of them are doing construction, so there’s a hierarchy there. We got one guy who’s in charge of construction and maintenance. But otherwise, everybody’s kind has an individual discipline, which is unnerving because you have one bookkeeper and then she’s out sick, you know. Yeah. What do you do?

[00:22:26] Yeah. There’s this is dilemma when you’re in the 10 to 20 people phase where you can’t really quite afford someone to supervise everyone for you. It’s tough.

Mark: [00:22:34] Yeah, yeah, that’s where we’re at. Again, the condo will have a board that takes care of this, which, but we’re a ways from that.

Eve: [00:22:45] Yes. What aspects of the project have been the most delightful and rewarding for you.

Mark: [00:22:51] Yeah, that’s a good question. It all, it’s, you know, what part of the spaghetti sauce is your favorite?

Eve: [00:22:57] Okay, I’ll move on. What’s been the most challenging then?

Mark: [00:23:03] Yeah. Fair. Money.

Eve: [00:23:07] Money.

Mark: [00:23:07] Money has been money has been the most challenging. And, I mean, coming from New York, money’s around. You have a viable project. You put something together, you can find money. At least that’s my understanding. But out here, we’re breaking all the rules, and it seems to stack up against any kind of conventional financing. I think the biggest problem with this small town that continues to lose population is that real estate values at best are stagnant.

Eve: [00:23:40] How does a bank assess the value, right? There’s just no like kind property at all.

Mark: [00:23:46] That’s another problem. But yes, there’s, so, you know, we have cash flow now. But why would a bank want to invest for 30 years in a dying town? Or 25 years, or 20 years. It’s a big burden. So, they’re very conservative about when they invest. So, they’re looking at 50 or 60% loan to value ratios instead of 80, 90%. And they put a very, the appraisers put a very conservative capitalization rate depending on whether you’re on the receiving or sending end there. But they use a cap rate of ten. So, you you’ve got these hurdles. You can’t get the cash flow at a cap rate ten to support significant debt.

Eve: [00:24:35] But you’ve done it, right?

[00:24:38] Well, yeah, I mean we had help when we bought it. We had help when we bought it. There was a very aggressive banker before the regulations changed before the financial crisis. We bought it just before the financial crisis in 07/08. And the regulations have hamstrung the bankers in many ways. But we bought it before that, so we got a loan before that. And they had a, the town had an economic development person on staff, and the banker worked with them and therefore the mayor at the time and we got a loan. It was a small amount ultimately, but it was enough for us to get involved. We got a $600,000 low interest loan from the state through the city. So that got us going, but we’ve had nothing since then.

Eve: [00:25:32] Oh, wow! You have gotten a grant from the from the state.

Mark: [00:25:37] The state? Yes. I know it’s interesting. The biggest challenge has been to convince the local administration folks, the local city government that we’re good guys, and it seems a natural to me, but it’s been very, very difficult. I think we’re coming around now because there’s enough of a chorus out there with all of our tenants and all the events that we have here. Enough of a chorus that’s very supportive that they, I think they’re beginning to come around.

Eve: [00:26:15] So do you think your project has influenced the perception of Williamsport? It’s a lot of square feet in a small town.

Mark: [00:26:25] It’s beginning to. There’s a number of tenants that have moved back to or stayed in Williamsport because of the pajama factory. And of course, they talk about that to others. So, yeah, I mean, that’s what’s most exciting, I think. That’s the part that I find most exciting and the part that’s most surprising when I bought the building. You know, it’s a bunch of bricks and windows. I’ll fix it up and we’ll get it occupied. But now we’re changing a town, and that’s very exciting.

Eve: [00:26:56] It’s economic development.

Mark: [00:26:57] Yeah. Yeah, absolutely.

Eve: [00:27:00] So you’ve also listed a raise, which was launched yesterday, on Smallchange.co to raise funds for this next building phase that you’re going through. Is this partly the reason why? It’s too hard to find, you know, I don’t even know what normal money is, I’m not sure I should say that, but it’s very difficult. I mean, I’ve worked with other developers who have similar problems. Anytime a project is out of the city and unusual, it is almost impossible to get institutional financing. So, you’re not alone. Although that doesn’t really make it better.

Mark: [00:27:39] What I’ve found is you can get institutional financing, maybe, for your facility, for your project as it sits. So, I got financing based on our new cash flow and new appraisal and they made sure that there was enough cash flow to pay for the financing. There was nothing for development. So that any development has to be, money, has to be obtained outside. And that’s where Small Change is going to help us. In the past, I’ve approached some friends and family and that’s gotten us going. But I love the way that Small Change works, and I think it’s going to do a lot to publicize what we’re doing here in town. And I’m looking forward to getting, I don’t know I’ll get so much money out of the town folks, but I think we’ll get a lot of positive PR and I’m going to push that. Yeah.

Eve: [00:28:46] Good. So, and what will this next round of funding build, you know, along with the, I know you have funds from the state as well, a grant. So, what are you planning?

Mark: [00:28:56] Yeah. So, uh, I hope to have about three mil to work with in total. And the state funding is going towards long deferred, too long deferred maintenance issues like roofing, parking lots, HVAC systems, the stuff that doesn’t pay rent. Every time, I mean, because we can only get money based on rent roll, every penny that I got from a bank or development went into developing rent roll. How? With the roof right now, I need rent roll. But now we’ve got some free money coming. Not free, it’s grant money. A lot of brain cells get expended when you work with these grants. But anyway, I’m going to use the grant money to, you know, secure the building at this point. That’s very exciting. But then there’s some more money left over, I hope and that’s going to go towards, well, my favorite project, and it’s probably for personal reasons, is our beer garden on the roof. I want to use…

[00:30:00] Now, is it the beer or the garden, Mark?

Mark: [00:30:03] It’s the beer, of course. Well, you know, it’s going to be what I can do in the afternoon when I can’t drink coffee. Time to go upstairs. The roof is amazing. It’s so beautiful up there. You’re in a valley, in a green valley and you’re above all the trees and all the other buildings you can see all the way downtown. The sunsets off to the west, right off the roof. And we’re putting a kind of a guest bar up there, and we’re going to use the beer garden to, I hope, attract, a craft brewer. And then the craft brewer’s going to move in downstairs. I’ve got 6000ft² of space dedicated to a brewery. And then I’m hoping that the activity with our new parking lot out front and the craft brewery downstairs. I hope that activity generates some interest for the restaurant. So, then we really start to have an ecosystem here that’s pretty complete. And I just need to do that before I’m in my walker, because I have to get this happening.

Eve: [00:31:12] I don’t think that’s ever going to happen, or not soon. So, what advice do you have for anyone contemplating a similar project?

[00:31:19] Call me. You have to be prepared for a lot of time. I did this in New York. We bought into a loft in downtown Manhattan in 1984 and paid almost nothing for it. It was a dump. It was truly a dump right over a disco. But I knew that there was a lot of space, and I was an architect. I was like, okay, I’ll work with the space, and we’ll see how it goes. And it went fantastic for us over time, it’s now worth a bloody fortune. And it allowed me to buy this building. So, I’m like, okay, let’s do it again. But it takes time. I mean, it was 30 years in New York to build the value.

Eve: [00:32:03] Yes, like, real estate is a long hold.

Mark: [00:32:07] It should be, and I think the way the development world works and money works, it demands a short-term return. And that is counter to building a quality, community-based structure, or institution. So, you got to go into it with your eyes wide open that it’s going to take a long time. Even longer than you think. As I said, this is a five-year project for me, and I’m on 16.

Eve: [00:32:39] So there’s no sequel planned for you, right? There’s not a pajama factory number two?

Mark: [00:32:45] No, there really isn’t. No, people have asked. No, this is plenty. And it’s, the other thing about it is it’s an endless project, which is fine. You know, I want to get it so it can support itself, but that doesn’t mean I can’t continue to contribute.

Eve: [00:32:59] So final question I want to ask is how does this project feed your soul?

Mark: [00:33:05] Oh, so many ways. As I said, I love the crafts. I was an architect, I decided to go to the dark side and become a developer. And then after many years, I finally decided I’m not really a developer, I’m a design builder. And I love that. I love getting my hands dirty, being right there with people, doing work, trying to figure out problems. I mean, that’s what I love to do. I also love people. I love to meet them. I love to introduce them. I love to find out what makes them tick. And I think the combination of the two has been essential for the success we’ve had to date.

Eve: [00:33:44] Well, Mark, it’s a pretty rare developer that puts so much soul into their project. As you know, our cities are filled with soulless buildings.

Mark: [00:33:55] All the more now.

Eve: [00:33:57] Yes. So, I really appreciate what you’re doing and thoroughly enjoyed talking to you. I hope the raise goes gangbusters.

Mark: [00:34:04] Yeah, Good. Yes, I do too. And I’ll be pushing it and rewarding everyone who helps.

Eve: [00:34:20] I hope you enjoyed today’s guest and our deep dive. You can find out more about this episode or others you might have missed on the show notes page at RethinkRealEstateforGood.co. There’s lots to listen to there. Please support this podcast and all the great work my guests do by sharing it with others, posting about it on social media, or leaving a rating and a review. To catch all the latest from me, you can follow me on LinkedIn. Even better, if you’re ready to dabble in some impact investing, head on over to smallchange.co where I spend most of my time. A special thanks to David Allardice for his excellent editing of this podcast and original music. And a big thanks to you for spending your time with me today. We’ll talk again soon. But for now, this is Eve Picker signing off to go make some change.

Image courtesy of Mark Winkelman

Office conversion.

December 20, 2023

According to CBRE the overall U.S. office vacancy rate hit a 30-year-high of 18.2% in mid-2023  That doesn’t sound so bad, but reality is just not so even-handed.

Only 10% of all U.S. office buildings account for 80% of the occupancy losses since the onset of Covid. I visited Atlanta in early October, 2023. My host told me vacancy in downtown Atlanta was at 80%. He was just waiting for the lease to expire to abandon their space as well.  Soon 80% might climb to 81%.

These are not just numbers. You can see the impact on every downtown street. Way less foot traffic and shuttered retail continue the downward trend. 

The fix is housing, say many.  Convert those offices to homes and convert downtowns to neighborhoods. Co-housing, affordable housing and luxury apartments.  We need them all.  But that, my friends, is much easier said than done.

In 2018 there was 97 billion square feet of office space in the US. Let’s assume that increased by a modest amount to 100 billion square feet today.  In good times, office vacancies might be 10 – 12%, so let’s assume that we need to figure out how to repurpose 8%, or 8 billion square feet. 

Now let’s assume that we’ll need an average of $500 per square foot to convert the 8 billion square feet to residential.  

Every real estate developer knows that what goes in must come out.  In other words, if you are going to spend $500 per s.f. + the original cost of the building, then you have to support that expense with sufficient rent or sales income … or you will have a sinking ship.

But not every building sits in a market that can support costs like these. Hot markets and high-end luxury units might work.  But what about everyone else.  Don’t we want middle-income and affordable housing?

Conversion will only work in these instances with an influx of funds that might never be paid back. We call this the funding gap.  It would be reasonable to assume that the funding gap spread across ALL of this office space might be 25%. That’s  $4 trillion, or 15% of the GDP.  

The $800 billion has to come from somewhere.  Is it worth it?  It won’t ever be paid back, but buildings will be put back into use,  real estate taxes will be paid and downtowns will be saved.

Anyone got some change?

Shift capital.

November 8, 2023

Brian Murray is the co-founder of Shift Capital, an impact urban real estate group driving mission-oriented capital, collaborative resources and inclusive strategies into underserved communities. Through his work at Shift, Brian is focused on finding better solutions at the intersection of society’s most difficult urban challenges – intergenerational poverty, urban revitalization, access to opportunity, and community displacement. Brian led the capital raise for SHIFT’s Neighborhood Fund and manages the deployment of over $330 million of investments throughout SHIFT’s portfolio in Philadelphia, Newark NJ, Washington DC, and Upstate New York.

Brian spent the majority of his career outside of the real estate space, starting his career at PricewaterhouseCoopers as an auditor. He moved into the technology space where he helped found two start-ups, before joining the Peace Corps and heading back to get his MBA. While in graduate school, Brian observed the growing interest in impact investing – investing with a purpose. It was at this time he made his first real estate investment and discovered the importance of socially-minded development. He hasn’t looked back since.

Brian is a graduate of The College of New Jersey and received his MBA from Yale School of Management. He is the co-founder of Arete Youth Foundation, focused on youth development in the Roma communities of Bulgaria. He has two daughters that keep him young at heart and on his toes.

Read the podcast transcript here

Eve Picker: [00:00:08] Hi there. Thanks for joining me on Rethink Real Estate. For Good. I’m Eve Picker and I’m on a mission to make real estate work for everyone. I love real estate. Real estate makes places good or bad, rich or poor, beautiful or not. In this show, I’m interviewing the disruptors, those creative thinkers and doers that are shrugging off the status quo in order to build better for everyone.

Eve: [00:00:43] This is my second podcast interview with Bryan Murray. But time has passed, and his business and expertise have grown. Brian came to real estate as a non real estate guy. Always interested in impact, he wanted to find a way to address poverty and real estate presented a tangible path. And so, he launched Shift Capital, an impact urban real estate group focused on mission oriented real estate strategies in underserved communities. And so, he launched Shift Capital and Impact Urban Real Estate group focused on mission oriented real estate strategies in underserved communities. Simply put at Shift, Brian works on uncovering better solutions to society’s most difficult urban challenges – intergenerational poverty, urban revitalization, and access to opportunity and community displacement. There’s a lot to unpack here, so take a few minutes and listen in.

Eve: [00:01:56] Hey, Brian, I’m really happy to have you join me today.

Brian Murray: [00:01:59] I’m super excited to be here.

Eve: [00:02:01] We are real estate developers who do things differently. That’s what your website announces really boldly. So, tell me what that means.

Brian: [00:02:10] Sure. For us, what that means is that we are focused on building equitable neighborhoods, and we are focused in doing it in untraditional ways to the typical real estate development cycle. We focus on a hyperlocal approach. We focus on scale through that hyperlocal approach, and we focus on doing it holistically and really trying to dig deeper with the community beyond just participation, but equity building as well.

Eve: [00:02:43] We’re going to unpack that a little bit later. Right? So…

Brian: [00:02:45] That’s alright.

Eve: [00:02:46] And like, how did Shift happen? What are its origins and how did it come about?

Brian: [00:02:52] Yeah. By the way, in preparing to talk to you again, I went back and I looked through all your old podcasts, and I just want to say that the amazing people that you have interviewed over the years, I’m probably going to now make your podcast a requirement for anybody that we hire just so many good friends and great people and a lot of people that I admire that I haven’t met before.

Eve: [00:03:18] It’s been an enormous learning experience for me. I’ve enjoyed, like, I’ve really enjoyed talking to people and figuring out what’s going on.

Brian: [00:03:27] Yeah, I think you’ve really unpacked so many aspects of this, quote, non-traditional part of the real estate cycle. But I think people who are focused on all aspects of it, which is amazing. Sorry. What was your question? Your question was Shift origins. Yeah.

Eve: [00:03:44] How did Shift happen?

Brian: [00:03:46] Yeah. So, I’m not a traditional real estate person. I didn’t come up through the institutional real estate world and then come into development. I came into development with a goal to make an impact on poverty. My background was a mix of entrepreneurship, nonprofit work, Peace Corps, business school, etcetera. And I knew I wanted to combine all those things in a way that was creating effective impact. And what I mean by effective impact was I was struggling with the impact that the nonprofit sector was making. I was struggling with the idea of entrepreneurially just chasing money. And I knew I didn’t have the personality for the government sector and policy. Although I’m a, you know, a huge believer that that policy really drives a lot of this change. And so, that ended up being a, you know, an investment during business school and a small real estate deal in Philadelphia. And then realizing and really connecting meet with me personally that impact of real estate in people’s lives. The physicality of it, how these things get financed, who’s benefiting from this. And you know, as you’ve talked about and we share, you know, real estate surrounds our lives. We live in it. We breathe in it, we work in it, we walk by it. And in low-income communities and communities that have been left out of investment, I think it’s even more profoundly negatively impacting. And that’s what I wanted to build. I wanted to build a company that was really digging deep into that challenge and thinking about how is what we’re doing connecting with making people’s lives better.

Eve: [00:05:38] So how do you approach that with each building project? What’s the process like from beginning to end? Can you talk about that?

Brian: [00:05:46] Well, we’ve evolved. We’ve been doing this for about 12 years. And in the beginning, I will share that, you know, I don’t think we really had this worked out. I think we made a lot of mistakes, and we were making investments without an overarching strategy, and we were making construction mistakes and other things that were challenging. But ultimately, we have evolved into really two core philosophies. One, is that we believe in investing in place. So, place-based strategies, concentrating our investments. So, it’s really not just about investing in one building. It’s about investing in a group of buildings so that we are maximizing that impact. That has shown up in our shift neighborhood fund, in our work in Philadelphia, where we’ve really gone deep in, now, three neighborhoods in Philadelphia. The other way that it has evolved for us is realizing that our work can connect the dots between other challenges in the real estate sector. So, specifically going through our own journey, and I’m a, you know, a white male, which, and carry a lot of privilege, but I found getting into the real estate sector to be the most harrowing and crazy and unbelievably risky thing that I’ve done. And I’ve been an entrepreneur my whole life,

Eve: [00:07:10] Really?

Brian: [00:07:12] It’s set up to keep people out, and we combine that with, you know, redlining and access to information and bank practices that are still happening today, to insurance practices that are now hitting our industry again in low-income communities. And there’s no wonder that there are not a lot of women-led black and brown led developers. And working in the neighborhoods that we’re working in, we knew we wanted to do something, so we created a platform and a program to focus on that as well. So, we do our own work and we also try to uplift others through partnership as well.

Eve: [00:07:49] Yeah, access to capital, really that’s what it’s all about, right?

Brian: [00:07:53] Access to capital. But not just capital. Right? So, for those of us who work in places where the numbers and the math don’t work in a traditional sense, we also have to be experts at tax credits and subsidy sources. And with all of those additional items in the capital stack, the skill set needed is exponentially more than someone who’s just doing a simple office product or what have you.

Eve: [00:08:24] Oh yeah, and I think appraisals are absolutely key as well. Early on in my career, I would have appraisers calling me just bewildered about what I was doing and not sure what comps to look at. And that’s another skill set you have to develop, I think. Yeah.

Brian: [00:08:43] It’s a combination of factors. But you know, and one of them is a spiral  effect of, you know, of groupthink that happens. Right? I think the statistic is 95% of appraisers are white, male, and in all likelihood not from the communities that they’re appraising. And as Andre Perry and many others have pointed out, you know, just a devaluation of urban black and brown neighborhoods as a result. And so, you combine that with institutional and, you know, capital staying out of those neighborhoods, afraid of being termed gentrifiers or afraid of the perception of safety. All these things combine to make real estate in the places we want to invest in much harder. And I only bring that up to say that it’s not just about access to capital. It is truly challenging on all levels. And for someone who is, wants to do good and, you know, and maybe does have some of the skill set, the team that you need to hire to be able to do a larger project, it’s an awful lot of money just to get a project off the ground. You know, you can’t make any mistakes because the numbers and the math are very difficult. And then you’re you’re not going to see a dollar yourself for maybe three, 4 or 5 years and then…

Eve: [00:10:06] Or longer.

Brian: [00:10:07] Or longer. What we have experienced ourselves and, you know, I have been really pushing against this is, whether it’s banks or investors and even mission investors believing that we need to continue to stick things in the same box. So, what I mean by that is that when a project is, we’re two weeks away from closing, we’ve been working on a project for two and a half years and interest rates change. Well, you know, everybody comes back to the developer and says, okay, well, now you need to contribute your developer fee, or you need to defer your developer fee, or you need to get rid of your, the only dollars you’re ever going to have to put food on your plate. Guess what? You can’t have that either. And at that point, when someone’s been working on something for two and a half years, what are they supposed to say? They’re going to get it done. And they give up the only way that they can provide for their families. That’s just not fair.

Eve: [00:11:04] Well, I wouldn’t agree, but still. Yeah, it’s really a very difficult business, I have to say. I’m a developer and I have a portfolio thanks to my husband. I don’t know, because he supported us through all those years of waiting for something, now we have a very nice retirement fund, so it’s payback time. But I just don’t know who someone on their own can do this. They have to be getting an income. You have to be. And the problem with it is, Brian, for some reason, developers are painted as evil, money-grubbing people across the board.

Brian: [00:11:45] Yeah.

Eve: [00:11:46] Maybe some of them are, but a lot of them aren’t. So how did that happen? When you talk, you talk about, you know, giving up fees and just scraping by.

Brian: [00:11:56] When we talk about, it’s funny because I bring this full circle to the Small Change platform. And one of the incredible benefits of participating and being a part of, and we have now our second project on the platform, but one of the massive benefits is not that we’re necessarily going to get thousands of people in the community to invest, is that we are going to expose thousands of people to the community, to what happens behind the curtain. And, you know, I do believe that the evil developer has been used as a tool that has negatively impacted a lot of the neighborhoods that need good developers and good development and good investment, because it has filtered down from watching maybe 30 years of center cities getting gobbled up for dollars, and then the truly evil developers of the world who have exploited opportunities when in reality most developers you know, are not and are working within a system and just trying to put together things. This is not a business for someone to run in and make a ton of money quickly, you know, and blood, sweat, tears, you know, in 30 years, yeah, I think, you know, it’s a great business. But that’s a lot, it’s a misconception, both actually of young developers and a lot of our work is helping to demystify and make sure that people understand the risk.

Eve: [00:13:28] Yeah.

Brian: [00:13:28] Because a lot of people get into the business without understanding that they might be putting their home up. But I do think that that translates down into communities. And this you know, I think the gentrification conversation is in that, I think the fear of change is in that, but using the Small Change platform to educate people like, hey, wait a minute, you know, look behind the curtain, you know, this school project that we’re doing, you know, there is not a lot of money that we make, and there’s a lot of risks that we’re taking to get this thing done, has been really valuable. And I think we need to continue to educate communities on the positive side of inviting developers into their communities as well.

Eve: [00:14:08] There’s also the issue that investors, maybe goes back to Sesame Street. They want immediate gratification. I actually had one investor say to me, I’ve been investing in, I don’t know, something that she was getting returns every six months. You know, I’d like a short-term investment in real estate. I’d like to move into real estate. Can I get my money back in a year? And I was like, dumbfounded. A year is no time at all in the real estate world. Like, you know, you’ll have to wait a little longer. And I think that’s also an educational mountain to climb because everyone talks about portfolios, right? And yes, some people need to have a return immediately. But I think the value of real estate is that you can have something that will grow over time, in value, in time. It’s not about that immediate cash flow. But most people don’t understand that there’s a big educational gap.

Brian: [00:15:06] Yeah, and I think that’s not just individuals. I mean, I think that the other factor that I didn’t mention yet is just institutional capital. So, when we raised our first fund, we were pre opportunity zone, pre you know a lot of stuff. And we were asking investors to invest in a neighborhood that had an average median income of $22,000 but we believed in, for a variety of reasons. And you know I wanted to do a ten-year fund. And I just said, you know, this is not going to be an overnight thing. It’s going to be a long-term investment. That’s actually how we seek to be more aligned with community if we’re longer term. And, you know, my advisors at the time said, you know, the marketplace isn’t, you’re not going to raise any anything. No one does ten-year deals and funds and you’ve got to be five years. So, five years is impossible.

Eve: [00:15:59] It’s impossible. It’s impossible.

Brian: [00:16:01] So I ended up doing a seven-year fund with three one year extensions is what I was able to pull off. And then of course, the marketplace changed with the Opportunity Zone legislation, which changed mindsets to ten years. But I believe that the real work is actually with the generational investment groups, the groups that can think generationally or think at least on ten, 15, 20-year time horizons. That’s where the real value opportunity is. There’s still so much capital chasing the five-year cycle, and that is detrimental to investments in cities, which I think you have to inherently believe long term in cities. But if you do, there’s a lot of opportunity.

Eve: [00:16:50] Because the hard stuff that really provides a return, it’s just going to take a longer time.

Brian: [00:16:56] Yeah.

Eve: [00:16:57] Anyway.

Brian: [00:16:58] Yeah. So, you know, I think you combine that with, and I’ll just make one last comment on this that I think is important, especially for those out in your audience who are, you know, are talking to institutional equity and thinking about that source. The impact investing world has evolved and has really grown. You know, 12 years ago at Socap, which is the premier impact, I felt like we were the only real estate person there. And now, you know, it really is revolving around investment and community. But I have found that institutional capital still is on the 80 over 20 and 2 mold, you know, which is to simplify that down to basically 2% asset management fee and then a 20% promote over a certain equity hurdle.

Eve: [00:17:47] A promote for those who don’t know what it is, is what goes to the person who’s putting the fund together or the project together. Yeah.

Brian: [00:17:55] It’s your pod at the end of the rainbow. But obviously if your project doesn’t work out, you don’t have any of it. And so, I think in the impact space, there needs to be a reckoning on incentive structures that properly reward the amount of time and effort. Because an impact project, I mean, I’ll put it toe to toe with any, you know, equity real estate group out there, is infinitely harder than, you know. If I’m buying triple net industrial across the country, you know, I can have a team of two and do that. If I’m doing, you know, the type of projects that we do, the neighborhood investments that we do, I have to have a team of ten plus and the expertise is hard. And so we don’t get paid for that, nor do we get, you know, even, you know, the 2%. Now we have to also report on impact metrics. But guess what? We have to do all this additional work in this model that was never set up to, it was set up for a different world, honestly.

Eve: [00:18:59] Yes. Yeah. Well, tell me about a favorite project and why it’s favorite and how it met your goals.

Brian: [00:19:08] Yeah, I’m going to get to my favorite project by just talking briefly about this next gen platform that we were doing.

Eve: [00:19:16] Okay.

Brian: [00:19:16] It started with actually a group in Philadelphia, Mosaic Development Partners, where a Sharswood Ridge project that we did on Small Change that created the framework for us to create this next gen platform. And our next gen platform is a platform where we are investing in and with what we call the next generation of impact developers. And it’s the belief that we are seeking to help raise the game for developers who are trying to break into that next level of their business. And the majority, you know, with a strong emphasis on women led development groups, Black and Brown led development groups. And right now, we’re working with 11 different sponsors across the country from Rochester, Ithaca, Newark, Baltimore, D.C., Southern California.

Eve: [00:20:09] And again, for our listeners who don’t know what a sponsor is, that’s really the developer, right?

Brian: [00:20:14] A development partner. So instead of, you know, in our world, a lot of times developers have to look for allocators. So, people who are allocating capital and we’re trying to come up alongside as a practitioner, as a developer ourselves and recognize that it’s not just about the money, it’s also about, you know, providing and buttressing, you know, development groups who are, you know, on their growth path that might not have exposure to new market tax credits, for example. And we’re able to help lean in on that on a particular deal. So, through this platform, about two and a half years ago, we were approached by a Latino owned housing group in Philadelphia called Voyage Investments. And Voyage was started by two gentlemen, Alex Robles and Juan Saenz, who went to undergrad together. Alex, both, you know, incredibly incredible pedigrees. Alex, many years in the real estate space and went to Wharton from the neighborhood of Kensington, where our offices are. Juan, you know, deep institutional finance experience. And they went off to start their own business. And I’d known them and, you know, we would talk every once in a while, and, you know, I’d relay some advice. And they went maybe two plus years trying to put deals together and make things work. And of course, this was, you know, ’18, ’19, ’20 and the marketplace was very hot and it was very difficult.

Eve: [00:21:52] I’ve got to add, I’ve worked with Alex. He’s got to be one of the smartest, most responsive thinkers I’ve ever worked with. Really super impressive.

Brian: [00:22:02] Yeah, they’re both impressive. They’re both incredible. But, you know, in this space, you need more than that. You need a little bit of luck. You need the right people to help you out and they were just losing out on deals. And at the time, I had needed support, I needed help. And so, I approached them in the conversation and said, you know, would you guys be interested in embedding yourself within Shift for a couple of years? We’ll, you know, I’ve come from the venture world or had experience in the venture world where they have these entrepreneurs and residents at the VCs. And I hadn’t seen that happen in real estate. And I said, would you guys be a developer in residence? And, you know, let’s do a three-year program and you guys come on and for the first year, you’ll spend, you know, a lot of time on our projects. And over the course of a three-year period, we’ll JV together and we’ll look for opportunities to to help you guys out. But the goal is at the end of three years that you guys are back out on your own. But now, you know, you’ve got a track record, you’ve got relationships that we help build up, etcetera. So, Alex and Juan have been on our team for two years. We’ve done a project in West Philadelphia, which was a housing preservation a deal. And then we found a deal locally in Kensington, which was a 40,000 square foot warehouse space. Alex is from Kensington. This is right around the street from our offices. And we said, hey, how about we partner on this one together? So, we partnered up with Voyage and we had this warehouse and we said, and we actually at the time had a tenant who was going to take the whole thing.

Brian: [00:23:49] The tenant was a ceramic company that was part of our ecosystem. So we are, one of our bases of philosophy is really investing in the creative economy. I know you’ve had, you know, my good friend Lindsay Scannapieco on recently. And, you know, we share a lot of similarities in terms of things that we’ve done in the Philadelphia area. But one of our companies was a ceramic building business that was growing out of its space. And so we partnered up with them to buy this building. This was going to be their future home. They were going to grow into it, and we bought it together. We started moving down that pathway. And the construction cost to build out their space was more than they anticipated, and so they decided they wanted to back out of the deal. They wanted to stay as partners in the deal, but they no longer wanted that to be their future home. So maybe about 3 or 4 months later, we ended up getting approached by a school, a school called Big Picture El Centro, which is a opportunity youth school in Philadelphia for those you know, and this is education for me as well, an opportunity youth school that’s focused on youth who are struggling in the traditional system, and this provides them an alternative pathway to graduation by focusing on skill set education, on putting these kids into businesses earlier in apprenticeship programs across the spectrum, from culinary to trades, etcetera.

Brian: [00:25:28] And they were looking for a permanent home in Kensington and their timeline was really tight. They were they could only move in half of the building at first, but they did want to go into the whole building. And so, Alex, Juan and the Shift team, we put our hats on, we put together that lease and we are building the future home of El Centro. And for me, it’s probably one of the more rewarding projects that we’ve ever done. It checks all the boxes of impact for me. You know, we’re, I think, making a healthy return for the risk, but not an egregious return for, to make sure that we are providing the most economical space we can for the school. We are building a high-quality school. You know, I say that because, you know, Philadelphia is marred with a education licensing system that is really problematic for building good schools. The charter school system is on a five-year program, and the and schools are really not able to pay a whole lot. And that combination means that the private sector is not really able to step in very often and build higher quality schools. But we feel we’ve been able to thread the needle on this one. And so, the plan is for them to move in in January. We’re about 60% through the construction. We are partnering with Small Change on this project to provide opportunities for people in the neighborhood. And again, going back to this importance of education and involvement and access, you know, we couldn’t be more thrilled to be bringing this project on there as well.

Eve: [00:27:22] But just about the finances, you’re actually raising quite a lot of money through on Small Change. So, what’s the financing been like for you on this project? Because it’s an odd start construction and try and figure out the financing as you go strategy, right?

Brian: [00:27:38] Yeah. This is one, you know, I’ll look back and say, you know, man, this was this was a tough one. We knew the school needed to move fast. We knew they didn’t have a lot of options, and they were getting a lot of pressure from the district to move to Kensington. And so, we pulled the trigger, and I’ll say this, we actually started construction, you know, earmuffs here, before we got the lease signed. Just to give you a sense of…

Eve: [00:28:12] I’ve done that.

[00:28:13] How much we’ve leaned into this. By the way, no one do this. Do not do this. But, you know, we had a lot of confidence that, you know, we were going to get the lease done. You know, we had built a very strong, very, you know, relationship with the board, with the leadership team. And we knew that the pressure was on for them. And so, we wanted to, you know, we really wanted to get them in earlier. But you know, construction, you know, has pushed us to moving them in in January. But to close on a project, to sign a lease where, you know, not all of the equity and the debt is together is certainly a terrifying place to be. We’re in a much stronger place now. We do have and we’re closing on our construction debt, about $3.9 million of construction debt, maybe as early as next week, which, we’re in October right now. We are raising 2.4 million, and we’ve put in $800,000 ourselves. We’ve also bridged a lot of this construction during this time. And we are seeking both accredited and non-accredited. So, we’re doing a side-by-side raise. And, you know, we’re out there talking to a lot of groups right now on the accredited side. But, you know, and meeting with community groups on the non-accredited, you know, looking to raise awareness.

Eve: [00:29:36] I have a question about that. How do the community groups respond to this. It’s an unusual opportunity for them, right?

Brian: [00:29:45] Uh, it’s been fantastic, and I will say that, you know, the Voyage team, especially Alex as a native person from Kensington, you know, has really been on the front end of this, has been excited to be able to talk about this. And, you know, I would say that a lot of this is really it’s a very soft sell, right? I mean, we’re using this as an opportunity to educate as much as possible in addition to saying, hey, this opportunity is here, but not, you know, but be realistic in terms of what where people are.

Eve: [00:30:18] It’s more about like, this is your neighborhood.

Brian: [00:30:22] That’s right.

Eve: [00:30:22] This is the value it’s going to add to your neighborhood, there’s value here besides a return you might get on the dollars you invest. And that’s actually a lot to think about, I think.

Brian: [00:30:33] Yeah. And, you know, I think this neighborhood, for those unfamiliar, Kensington was on the Republican national debate stage as the, you know, worst place in America. You know, we were the center of the opioid crisis. You know, we are dealing with $1 billion drug trade, you know, just blocks away from here. This community is resilient. You know, it’s a big second-generation Latino community. It’s a very mixed community. Old generation, new generation, lots of kids. And, you know, to take a building that has been vacant for 25 years and to put it into productive use like this positively, and for them to be able to see how and, you know, pull back the curtain and allow them to see that happen, you know, is just very rewarding for us.

Eve: [00:31:28] I have to ask; how did you end up in Kensington and why the worst neighborhood in America?

Brian: [00:31:35] Well, a little bit happenstance, but Kensington was the workshop of the world for the textile business at the turn of the century. And so, it has two really incredible things going for it from a real estate perspective. One, it’s on public transportation. There’s only two subway lines in Philadelphia. And so, we had a long-term belief that Philadelphia was going to turn from a car city into a public transportation city. So, everything we purchased within a five minute walk to a subway station when we got involved in the neighborhood. Two, as a result of being the workshop of the world, there’s a lot of larger real estate and older buildings that we could adaptively reuse, and we could purchase at a low basis at the time. And that low basis for those interested in impact, I cannot emphasize enough how important low basis is to doing the work of impact. It gives you flexibility that if you buy in, you know, later, you don’t have as much flexibility without a lot of subsidy. And so those two, three things really were what brought us to Kensington. You know, the reason for it being a challenge neighborhood is very complicated. It is just north of some of the hottest neighborhoods in the country with Fishtown and Lower Kensington. But this neighborhood has been ring-fenced by the city, and drug trade has been allowed to happen. And that has, you know, and again, I don’t want to get too deep into the politics of it, but I would say, you know, it is largely so that it doesn’t spread to other neighborhoods in Philadelphia. This neighborhood has pretty much been sacrificed, in my opinion. It’s an incredible tragedy but within that tragedy is this incredible story of a phoenix rising that, you know, we’re proud to be a part of and proud to work through with the community that’s there, that’s, you know, continuing to want to live there and want to see this neighborhood come back.

Eve: [00:33:53] I’m going to shift a little bit because that’s a pretty incredible story. But I just want to know, how big is your portfolio now? And do you have an end goal in mind? And are you working anywhere other than Philadelphia?

Brian: [00:34:05] Yeah. So, our Philadelphia portfolio is probably about 1,000,000ft². We have a number of projects in development right now. Outside of Philadelphia is through our next gen platform. This is where we are working in Rochester, Ithaca, Newark, Baltimore, DC. Our portfolio as a whole is probably about 3 to 4,000,000ft² which, you know, is, that’s pretty remarkable to say that out loud now that I think about it. But it’s largely been through sharing, partnering, joint venturing in a way that feels, you know, very appropriate. We’re about 30 people, so we’re vertically integrated within the Philadelphia marketplace. And we’d like to lend ourselves into other marketplaces where needed. I would say that, you know, we’ve been at the forefront of thinking long term. How do you create mixed income communities? So, from the day we started our work, we were thinking about our exit strategy. We helped put together the first neighborhood trust in the country, which is the Kensington Corridor Trust. I know you’ve had David Kemper and Trust Neighborhoods, which is a corollary group that started about the same time. Adriana Abizadeh, who leads the Kensington Corridor Trust, should absolutely be a someone you interview.

Eve: [00:35:46] Oh, send me the information. I was just writing this down.

Brian: [00:35:50] So the Kensington Corridor Trust, and I can’t speak for them. I got kicked off the board, which is a wonderful feeling. But they own probably a couple of blocks now in the Kensington neighborhood. They’ve been buying their own real estate on behalf of a mission for the community, and that mission is to preserve affordable workspaces on the corridor. And that model, I’m excited to say, is now starting to spread across the country. And so, we are constantly thinking about exit, you know, how do you preserve in advance? I’m a big believer that while I think the LIHTC, the low-income housing tax credit tool, is probably one of the greatest tools ever created at the same time, it’s a reactionary tool. And the mindset should be when we have that low basis of real estate in a lot of places, now’s the time to think about preservation. We need to think about preservation on a 20- 30-year scale. And we need more tools. We need more financing groups. We need philanthropy. We need investors to think more strategically about how do we think about capital long term. You know, if you told an investor they could make, you know, 8% returns over a 30-year period, you know, that’s a great return.

Eve: [00:37:12] It’s a great return.

Brian: [00:37:13] Unfortunately, when you have short term investors who are oh, I need 15, 20% returns on a five year schedule, and then you compound that, compound that over 30 years, you’re at a much different place. And that is a detriment to neighborhoods and cities. And it’s a problem we have to solve.

Eve: [00:37:33] Yeah, I agree, and I think that impact investors I’ve talked to have been an enormous disappointment to me, because I think that that longevity is definitely part of the equation. But what I get is what’s your exit strategy and how soon? They’ll talk about impact and then it’s what’s your exit strategy and how soon? And I just want to build the best platform I can that will serve the most people.

Brian: [00:38:00] I am, I’m gonna give you a little…

Eve: [00:38:01] I don’t know what, I don’t…

Brian: [00:38:02] And I have been in the doldrums with you. I have seen the slow march forward and, you know, having been there when the only investing impact investors were doing was, was in CDFIs and affordable housing, to this, you know, a place-based mindset. I believe that although it’s taking a lot more time, that we are seeing more and more investors getting that message. And I do think it’s these podcasts, Eve. I think it’s, you know, the cadre, the community that’s gotten created over the last ten years of people saying these things. And I believe it, I really believe it needs to come from family offices in particular, who have the ability to think long term as opposed to the, you know, the black rocks of the world, so to speak, getting into impact investing is not where it’s going to come from. It’s going to come from the next generation of families who, there’s a big transition of wealth. And if you look at things like the Durst Organization, right? I mean, they invest generationally. And I do think that more and more families are going to start getting this message and understanding that they can be part of the solution. It’s already happening. We’re having some conversations, and I feel like the message is getting through, even though you know, it’s not fast enough and it’s not enough yet. I mean, certainly not enough. Yeah.

Eve: [00:39:31] It’s not fast enough. No, I mean, we have thousands of users as well who must have an interest in impact because that’s all we offer investment in, right, So but it’s still, it’s not enough. It’s not enough. When you compare it to the hundreds of thousands who are investing on platforms in ways that have absolutely no impact. They just, yeah. Depressing. Okay. So, last question. What’s been your biggest challenge and biggest disappointment?

Brian: [00:40:03] Um.

Eve: [00:40:04] Maybe that’s not an uplifting question to end on, but I’ll ask you that and then.

Brian: [00:40:09] No, that’s okay. I mean, yeah, I think it’s the right question when we’re talking about development, because there isn’t a day that is not challenging that we go through. You know, sometimes I feel like I’m, you know, whether it’s whack-a-mole or whatever, the right metaphor, whack-a-mole, or you’re plugging the dyke over here, and then a leak happens over here.

Eve: [00:40:32] Oh yeah.

Brian: [00:40:33] And, you know, one of the challenges is keeping positive through that and recognizing that the small incremental movements forward are going to be part of the big movements later. You know, it’s been very difficult to grow the team that we’ve grown. We’ve taken a lot of risks. My team has dealt with a lot of stress. You know, we’ve gone through periods and, you know, where payroll is an issue. And I’ve you know, I’ve had during Covid asked the team to not take payroll for, you know, more than a month to just help us get through and try to keep everybody together, you know. I have a goal, maybe one day in life to write, you know, the developer confidential book that needs to be written based off of the Kitchen Confidential book that Anthony Bourdain wrote. But, you know, there is so much behind the scenes that’s challenging. I would just say, you know, keeping people positive in the wake of what feels like insurmountable challenges and push-back and, you know, is definitely our biggest challenge.

Eve: [00:41:50] So I’m going to ask you if it’s so challenging, why do you do it?

Brian: [00:41:54] Oh, why do we do it?

Eve: [00:41:56] What’s the reward? Why do we do it.

Brian: [00:42:00] It Depends on what day you ask me that question. You know, some days I’ll say, well, if I knew then what I know now. But most days I really feel that real estate is the most impactful and important thing to combat the challenges and the ills of today’s world. Whether that’s the idea that real estate spaces can bring people together, whether it’s about financing and how do we bring positive dollars into low-income communities and bridge an equity gap, wealth building. I mean, it touches so many things that for me, you know, that I can wake up every day and say, we’re, you know, we’re doing something positive for society, and that’s why we do it. Yes. I love the building and I love the physicality side of it, and that is important. But I would say arguably the people side of buildings is probably more, is the most important for us.

Eve: [00:43:12] Well, thank you very much for joining me. And I can’t wait to see what you do next. This current project is fabulous, so I’ll be watching.

Brian: [00:43:22] Well, you’re, I mean this, you’re a gem to this whole world and this movement. And, you know, I’m just so happy to see how much you’ve grown and how much you’ve built this thing and think I’m just really excited to be back on the podcast. So, thanks for having me again.

Eve: [00:43:39] Thank you.

Eve: [00:43:46] I hope you enjoyed today’s guest and our deep dive. You can find out more about this episode or others you might have missed on the show notes page at RethinkRealEstateforGood.co. There’s lots to listen to there. Please support this podcast and all the great work my guests do by sharing it with others, posting about it on social media, or leaving a rating and a review. To catch all the latest from me, you can follow me on LinkedIn. Even better, if you’re ready to dabble in some impact investing, head on over to smallchange.co where I spend most of my time. A special thanks to David Allardice for his excellent editing of this podcast and original music. And a big thanks to you for spending your time with me today. We’ll talk again soon. But for now, this is Eve Picker signing off to go make some change.

Image courtesy of Brian Murray

Starter Home disappears.

October 11, 2023

What happens when Wall Street comes for the starter home?    

In a slightly depressing piece of journalism, the New York Times documented the answer to this question by exploring sales in a neighborhood of Charlotte, NC. Between 2021 and 2022 one-third of the houses in just one block of this 34-year old subdivision were bought in all-cash deals by investors. 

And then they were converted to rental housing.  

What has the impact been?  A few years ago, Bradfield Farms was truly affordable. You could buy a starter home here – a modest house for around $200,000.  That is no longer possible. First time home-buyers are struggling with high interest rates and competing against all-cash buyers. This is not a fight that is easy to win.

There are lots of other reasons why affordable for-sale houses are disappearing.  But this one is an unexpected outcome of a poor economy and the overwhelming desire of investors to make money and will have long-lingering effects.  It is unlikely that any of those homes will ever be an opportunity for a first-time home buyer again.

And of course this means that we all have to work harder building new ones.

Retrofits.

September 28, 2023

Converting vacant office buildings to housing is not an easy fix for our ailing downtowns.  Not by a long shot.

Over the years experience has shown that they are never straightforward. There is no magic sauce. The unhappy truth is that retrofits are hard, expensive and sometimes make no sense at all. Here’s why …

Large floor plate office buildings generally have one central core, with elevators, bathrooms and utility runs in the middle  of a very large open space. Natural light only reaches the middle because there are no walls. A multi-family residential building requires the reverse.  Lots of bathrooms and kitchens stacked on top of each other, with utility runs spread throughout the building. And once you add demising walls for bedrooms and living spaces, there is precious little natural light for living in.  In many instances it might be more efficient (and less expensive) to start from scratch. Historic office buildings are perhaps the exception – their  smaller floor plates can more easily be converted into housing, if you can find one.

Of course this means that vacancies in downtowns will persist for some time. No-one knows yet what will happen to all of those office towers.  But I’ll bet some real estate innovators are already testing new ideas. Some other building use will bubble up.  Something that accepts the configuration of these buildings as an asset and doesn’t try to squeeze them into a use they were never meant for.

Image courtesy of The New York Times

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